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The Great Vusion Discount: Why the Market is Wrong, the Accountants are Confused, and You Should Read between the lines

Vusion Is crashing, but nobody knows why

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Waver
Jan 23, 2026
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The Art of the Deal (and the Steal)

Welcome to the financial anomaly of early 2026, a peculiar corner of the Euronext where logic seems to have taken an extended holiday and left panic in charge of the trading desk. We are gathered here to discuss Vusion S.A. (formerly the artist known as VusionGroup, and before that, SES-imagotag), a company that is currently committing the cardinal sin of succeeding too conspicuously while having a balance sheet that requires a PhD in theoretical physics to understand.

Here is the situation in plain English: Vusion is the global heavyweight champion of digitizing physical retail. They don’t just make those little digital price tags (Electronic Shelf Labels, or ESLs) that save store clerks from carpal tunnel syndrome; they are building the operating system for the physical store. They are turning dumb shelves into smart data assets. They are growing revenue at a rate of 50% year-over-year. They have signed the biggest retailer on Earth (Walmart). They are cash-flow positive.

And for their troubles, the market has rewarded them with a stock crash.

As of mid-January 2026, Vusion’s stock (EPA: VU) has decided to engage in a synchronized dive, shedding approximately 27% of its value in just thirty days. If you zoom out, shareholders have endured an 11% drop over the last year, a period in which the company basically doubled its strategic footprint. The stock is trading at a Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio of roughly 2.1x. To put that in perspective, if Vusion were a US-based AI software company—which, by the way, it essentially is—it would likely be trading at 10x or 15x sales. Impinj, a company that makes RFID chips (useful, but not “running the entire store” useful), trades at over 15x sales.

This report is your 15,000-word deep dive into why this dislocation exists. We will explore how a complex accounting rule regarding Walmart’s stock warrants has created an optical illusion of losses, how the “ghost” of a past short-seller report continues to haunt the valuation despite being thoroughly debunked, and why Vusion is the best “fat pitch” in the technology sector today.

We will keep this rigorous, exhaustive, and detailed, but we will also try not to bore you to death. After all, making money should be at least a little bit fun.


Part I: The Scene of the Crime – Market Dislocation

1.1 The January 2026 Sell-Off: A Comedy of Errors

Let us begin by examining the body. In the first few weeks of 2026, while the rest of the European tech sector was popping champagne corks and hitting record highs (the Euronext Tech Leaders index was up, the CAC 40 was flirting with 8,200 points), Vusion was being taken out behind the woodshed.

Why? Did they lose a customer? No, they gained Morrisons in the UK. Did their technology fail? No, they expanded the Walmart rollout to 4,600 stores. Did the CEO run off with the petty cash? No, Thierry Gadou is still there, sounding very confident on earnings calls.

The drop of 27% in a month is what technical analysts call “a falling knife” and what value investors call “a gift.” The decline appears to be driven by three things, none of which relate to the actual health of the business:

  1. Liquidity Events: It is the start of the year. Funds rebalance. Sometimes, when a stock has been volatile, portfolio managers just want it off their books so they don’t have to explain it to their investment committee. Vusion is a “show me” story, and in a jittery market, patience is in short supply.

  2. The “High” Multiple Myth: Critics point to the P/S ratio of 2.1x and say, “Look! The French electronics industry average is 0.3x! It’s overvalued!”. This is like saying a Ferrari is overvalued because the average price of a bicycle is $200. Comparing Vusion (a high-growth AI/IoT platform) to a generic French circuit-board maker is a category error of the highest order.

  3. Sentiment Hangover: The stock is still suffering from PTSD (Post-Traumatic Short-seller Disorder) following the Gotham City Research attack in 2023. Even though the allegations were refuted, the mere memory of volatility scares away the “long-only” pension funds that provide stability.

1.2 The “Pain” Trade

The financial press describes the recent performance as “prolonging recent pain”. And let’s be honest, holding Vusion stock has been an emotional rollercoaster. It is not for the faint of heart. It is for the “smart of brain.”

The market is currently voting that Vusion’s growth is a fluke. It is pricing in a disaster. But when we look at the analyst consensus, we see a different story. Analysts—the poor souls who actually read the 300-page annual reports—have price targets that suggest the stock should be double its current price. Berenberg and Stifel are out there with “Buy” ratings and targets implying 80-115% upside.

So, who is right? The manic-depressive market, or the spreadsheet-wielding analysts? To answer that, we have to look at what Vusion actually does.


Part II: The Business – Not Just Sticky Labels

If you think Vusion is just a company that sells little plastic tags with LCD screens, you are missing the point. That is like saying Apple is a company that sells glass rectangles.

2.1 The “Trojan Horse” Strategy

Vusion’s genius lies in the “Trojan Horse” strategy. The Electronic Shelf Label (ESL) is the entry point. Retailers buy it because they are desperate. Labor costs are skyrocketing. Nobody wants to work in a supermarket changing paper price tags at 3 AM for minimum wage. It is a miserable job, and it is prone to error.

So, retailers buy Vusion’s tags to automate pricing. Great. That’s the hardware revenue. It’s lumpy, it’s capital intensive, and it has decent but not amazing margins.

But once those rails are installed on the shelf, something magical happens. Those rails are not just plastic holders; they are smart IoT hubs. They have Bluetooth chips. They have power rails. They are connected to the cloud.

Suddenly, Vusion says to the retailer: “Hey, since you already have our rails, would you like to turn on the Captanacameras to see which shelves are empty? Would you like to turn on EdgeSense so your customers can find products with their phones? Would you like to use VusionCloud to manage your entire fleet from headquarters?”

2.2 The Pivot to Vusion

In January 2026, the company dropped the “Group” and the “SES-imagotag” and became simply Vusion. This was not just a marketing exercise to spend money on new logos. It was a declaration of victory in their pivot to software.

The old SES-imagotag was a hardware vendor. The new Vusion is a Retail IoT Cloud platform.

  • Hardware: The body.

  • VusionOS (VusionOX): The brain.

  • VusionCloud: The nervous system.

The market is valuing Vusion for the body (hardware multiple) and ignoring the brain (software multiple).

2.3 Value-Added Services (VAS): The Holy Grail

Here is the stat that should make you drool: In the first nine months of 2025, VAS revenue grew by 115%.

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